J.M. Hamilton - Blog
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BLOG.JMHAMILTONPUBLISHING.COM: Monthly Archives for April 2010

After Speculators, Hedge Funds, and Goldman, Et Al., Took Down the Euro... China May think Twice About Letting Their Currency Float...

If Germany Won't Bailout PIIGS.... The E.U. may Jettison PIIGS, so that They Can Monetize Debt...

Synthetic Collateralized Debt Obligations = Gambling on Bets Already Made!

Oceans Ablaze!

“The SEC and the courts will resolve the legal question of whether Goldman’s actions broke the law,” said Senator Carl Levin, a Michigan Democrat. “The question for us is one of ethics and policy.”

"In the end, the spirit about compliance is as important, or more so, than words about compliance."

“One of the important lessons that I hope will be learned from this entire financial crisis is that the reflexive reaction against transparency, that disclosure will bring terrible things, has not been proven true,” he says.

An Opportunity for Republicans?

If this Event Doesn't Serve as a Wake Up Call to Get Off the "Oil - Jones" - And Convert Faster to Bio Fuels and Green Tech - Nothing Will...

"With stock prices up more 75% from their lows, that prospect seems as good excuse as any to take some profits here."

“The bond vigilantes are walking out in Greece, Spain, Portugal, the U.K. and Iceland,” said Roubini.

Blackstone’s GSO is marketing a floating-rate fund, the firm’s first product for retail investors, in which 80 percent of its managed assets are senior loans rated below investment grade, according a prospectus.

“One of the important lessons that I hope will be learned from this entire financial crisis is that the reflexive reaction against transparency, that disclosure will bring terrible things, has not been proven true,” he says.

Will the Real Doctor Evil, Please Step Forward.... ?

Mr. Blankfein replied, “I think we’re not that smart.” INDEED.

While the Dodd Bill Appears to have been Improved Upon, It still does nothing to Break Up TBTF Banks! On this point, the Republicans have it Right. Lets Hope They Do Something About It...

Goldman Sachs on Trial in the Public Arena! Mr. Blankfein said: “We have been a client-centered firm for 140 years, and if our clients believe that we don’t deserve their trust we cannot survive.”

Senator Judd Gregg: “We shouldn’t put in place a regulatory regime that overly reacts and, as a result, significantly dampens our capacity to have the most vibrant capital and credit markets in the world.”

Paper Trail at Goldman...

"Buying credit-default swaps is like buying insurance on your neighbor's house because you know he smokes in bed. Traditionally, one can't buy insurance without holding an interest in the thing being insured. The temptation to start a fire (is great)."

On Goldman: Mr. Galbraith obliged with a juicy quote that to repair the damage wreaked by fraud and fix the economy, "economists should move into the background and criminologists to the forefront."

Greek Interest Hits JUNK Status...

Sadly, the G-20 Should be Discussing Way to Break Up TBTF Banks... Not for Ways to Dissolve the Banks After the Next Crisis Occurs....

“I think people have accepted that regulation is going to happen and that the business will probably be less profitable.”

As Long as Rating Agencies Collect Fees or Revenue from the Institutions they Evaluate - There Will Be Moral Hazard!

It Appears that Hayek, of the Chicago School, Saw a Place for Government in the Market Place...

“They’ve (the Rating Agencies) become so beholden to their top issuers for revenue they have all developed a kind of Stockholm syndrome which they mistakenly tag as Customer Value creation,” the employee wrote.

"In Germany, the bailout has proved to be politically unpopular and could face legal challenges before the country’s Constitutional Court."

Hopefully Not Too Many "Deals" and "Compromises" will Be Struck in the Passage of Bank Reform... Last Thing America Needs is Watered Down Reform!

"A number of companies have recently announced that they will end or curtail their operations in Iran."

Prompt Global Strike Weapons - Wave of the Future?

European Sovereign Dominoes?

The Reactionary Elements of the Republican Party (Is that Redundant?)... Are on the Wrong Side of History! If the Republicans want to contribute to Reform with Real Proposals, by all means Present Them!

A Good Start... Lets Hope Substance is Not Sacrificed for Expediency....

The Reining in of the Wall Street Banks Will Do More to Foster - and Protect - Free Markets, than all the Deregulation that Proceeded Financial Reform, over the Last Three Decades...

"... putting so much testimony on the record voluntarily could give the S.E.C. more ammunition, legal experts said."

Tourre Should Not Be Allowed to Testify Before the Senate, IF It Means Immunity from Prosecution, or that His Talking Points cannot be used later by Prosecution...

"He (Greenberg) drills down so deep, to the Arctic ice, and yet he tells us he doesn't know the details of what he discussed with Ferguson,'' Ellenhorn said. "It's ridiculous.''

In Complaints Similar to the SEC's Allegations Against Goldman, Civil Suits Abound Against Wall Street Banks!

A Great First Step: The Senate Agriculture Committee on Wednesday approved legislation to tighten regulation of derivatives trading.

Taxpayer Supported Gambling on Wall Street!

“By splitting up these megabanks, we by definition will make them smaller, safer and more manageable,” Senator Edward E. Kaufman Jr.,

In the U.K., meantime, Britain’s financial regulator said Goldman Sachs’s London units will be formally investigated for fraud.

"Goldman often views its customers as trading counterparties, that is, the traders on the other side of Goldman’s own bets in the markets."

"To win its case, the S.E.C. must prove that Goldman was not merely silent about Mr. Paulson’s role but actually gave investors the wrong impression..."

"Much of that lobbying has centered on Senator Blanche Lincoln, the Arkansas Democrat who is the committee’s chairwoman and who last week introduced the bill that would prevent banks from trading derivatives directly."

“The lynch-mob mentality that is prevailing right now against Goldman is such that you don’t know where this thing could go, so I think the stock is going to be under continuing pressure,” said Michael Holland.

“I think everybody a few years ago got caught up in the idea that the markets are self-correcting and self-disciplined, and that the people in Wall Street will do a better job protecting the financial system than the regulators would.”

"The British prime minister also asked his nation’s securities regulator to investigate the Wall Street powerhouse because of losses suffered by a major British bank."

“We absolutely need to fix certain areas in financial reform,” Mr. Brown said on “Face the Nation” on CBS.

"The allegations have left many on Wall Street wondering how far the investigation might spread inside Goldman and perhaps beyond."

"Recent public statements made by Mr. Blankfein seem to conflict with the S.E.C. account."

Goldman Sachs and Zell...

TBTF, BANKS, Have to be Broken Up - Globally!

Res Ipsa Loquitur: In a statement, Goldman called the S.E.C. accusations “completely unfounded in law and fact” and said the firm would “vigorously contest them and defend the firm and its reputation.”

Coincidence? Probably Not.

Might the SEC Staff Up?

ABACUS

Remember the Name: John Paulson.... Not to be Confused with another Ethically Challenged Gentlemen, Henry Paulson...

If I may, one last Political Insight... Obama, if he plays his cards right, should be able to ride the Corpse of Wall Street Banking right into Re-election in 2012!

PINATA TIME... FOR GOLDMAN! Get the Rope...

Easy Money Appears to be Driving the Latest Bubble.... It sure Isn't Business Fundamentals...

China Corners "Rare Earth" Metals Market...

Retro Blog: Private Equity

A Short Story in Fiction: The Recovery!

Now, more than ever, the GOP needs to actively participate in the Writing and Implementation Process of Bank Regulatory Reform.

Banks Fail to Recognize Their Own Contribution to the Housing Crisis: That of Poor Underwriting Standards. At the same time, the Banks Have been in Receipt of Massive Corp Welfare, Most Homeowners Have Not!

Drawn by the prospect of hefty profits from even the smallest of loans, a raft of banks and financial institutions now dominate the field, with some charging interest rates of 100 percent or more.

“It’s a riverboat gamble with very little upside.”

The 84-year-old Greenberg is trying to rehabilitate his reputation and settle lawsuits over the transaction and his ouster from AIG in March 2005.

He predicted that without action by Congress, “we’ll see millions and millions of dollars in corporate money funneled into these campaigns through dummy corporations and front companies.”

The Revolving Door Between Congress and Wall Street....

Four Republican senators — Scott Brown of Massachusetts, George V. Voinovich of Ohio and Susan Collins and Olympia J. Snowe of Maine — joined Democrats to overcome the legislative standoff that had resulted from Mr. Coburn’s objections last month.

Germany, long the financier of the European Union, has made it clear that it will no longer pay for the mistakes and frauds of others.

Mr. Hu made no specific commitment to backing measures that the United States considers severe enough to force a change in direction in Iran’s nuclear program.

Entities like Hudson Castle are part of a vast financial system that operates in the shadows of Wall Street, largely beyond the reach of banking regulators.

Inflation, at least in the Short to Intermediate Run, Should be Held in Check by High Unemployment, Stagnating Labor Costs, Rising Productivity, and Depressed Housing Prices.... Declining M3 is also a Sign that Inflation Shouldn't take off Any Time Soon.

It's the Politics, Stupid!

When A Country Begins to Crawl Out of the Economic Abyss.... Making the Call on when the Depression Officially Ends is, Well, Political!!!!

Exchange Rate is But One Avenue in Dealing with China... Another Answer is to Insist that Chinese Products, Sold in the U.S., are Mfged Here in the U.S....

Regulators Failed to Manage the Last Crisis and The Dodd Bill, Merely Shuffles the Regulatory Deck, and Leaves America Dependant Upon the Regulators, Yet Again.

E.U. "Talk and Walk" on Greece, Finally, Backed by Money.... Next Up: Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain...

Tea Party Targets Republican Establishment Candidate, In Favor of a More Libertarian Bent Candidate...

If Banks Eschew Consumer and/or Small Business Debt/Credit, in Favor of Sovereign Debt and/or Riskier Issues of Corporate Debt (Hedged by CDS), A Reverse Multiplier Effect of Tightening Consumer and/or Small Business Credit…. Could Slow Down the Economy!

Tragedy and Irony in Poland…

Top Ten Reasons Not to Invest in Wall Street Banks….

Team Usury Sprucing Up Quarterly Statements by Temporarily Off-Loading Debt in Repurchase Agreements... Apparently, REPO 105 or REPO 105- Like Transactions are all too Common. No Surprise!

Eventually, we will be asking how to save the government....

History Repeats: Who Would Win? President Jackson or the Bank? And Who Will Win Today? President Obama or the Banks? Or Will Washington Even Engage the Banks? Judging from the Dodd Bill, Not.

Retro Blog: History Repeats Itself, As America Fails to Learn from Japan!

Treadmill to Hell

The March trade gap may not be sustained as exports pick up pace.

JUNK Remains Hot... For Now...

Since the middle of 2008, a total of 225 billion Swiss francs have left the bank... UBS...

While the market has improved in the past few weeks, private equity-backed IPOs have lagged overall IPO performance in the United States...

Greek citizens are staging what amounts to a run on their own banks... And, the continued shuttering of the securitization markets.

Debt Securitization - No Longer Off Balance Sheet: "...the implementation of FAS 166 and 167 will create some noise in the quarter, as the large-cap banks will make a one-time 'true-up' to the reserve for off-balance-sheet assets."

Strong corporate-debt-origination levels were more than offset by a significant sequential decline in equity originations and completed merger and acquisition (M&A) volumes.

"In contrast, Mr. Rubin raced out of the hearing room."

Germany Looking Past Greece and Sees Moral Hazard, as Other PIIGS Will Be Looking for Greek Style Assistance...

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