J.M. Hamilton - Blog
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BLOG.JMHAMILTONPUBLISHING.COM: Monthly Archives for July 2010

That's $4 Trillion Below the Value of Mortgages, or Debt Owed to Banks

"... he offers a target of 1300 for the S&P 500 by next summer."

"They've finally decided to make their stand on the backs of the unemployed."

"Bloomberg, 68, is a fiscal conservative with liberal social views who is formally an independent. He combines proven political skills with business acumen and has drawn high ratings for his job running New York City."

"A BP spokesman said it did not comment on rumor and speculation."

"KB Home, the U.S. homebuilder that targets first-time buyers, reported a wider-than-estimated loss and a drop in new orders in its second quarter."

"We recognize that, as is always the case, the SEC has reserved the right to reopen those matters based on new information."

“They’ll just surround themselves with extra lawyers.”

"... it could be that the reservoir of oil had been depleted by the gusher."

The Exceptionally Nasty Politics of Unemployment… And the Most Fiscally Conservative President in the Last Thirty Years

“They should follow the law and let them lapse,” Mr Greenspan said in an interview.

"Meanwhile, all signs point to continuing economic malaise, even if it doesn't qualify for the proverbial double dip, thanks to growth numbers having nominal plus signs ahead of them."

Donlan May Have Stumbled Upon a Way to Cut Government Spending: Pit Two Multi-Nationals Against One Another, Add Lobbyist and Politicians, and Let them Fight INDEFINATELY!

"(Fusion IQ): Goldman paid the highest fine/settlement in the history of the SEC. It admitted material omissions and misstatements in its marketing materials, disgorged profits, made up investor losses and faces significant risk of future litigation."

Private Equity, Rattner, Quadrange, and the Auto Industry Czar!

ABI Slips...

What Do the Affluent Know that We Don't.... On Economic Matters, A Great Deal!!!

Would it not be a positive developement if the SEC utilized its fines to support itself, as opposed to turning those funds over to Treasury???

"As far as I'm concerned, we're experiencing a rally that is taking place within the confines of a long-term, major or primary bear market," Russell writes.

The Lords of Karma at Play? 150% Mark Up on the I Phone, Chinese Labor Suicides? Cool, A Free Case with Every Broken Phone!

REALITY Meets the Mother of All Game Shows: The Stock Market! My bets on REALITY!

Ooops! Who Would Have Thought? Wonder Where that TARP Money Is?

Take a bow...

Politicians Pass the Buck on Bank Reform. Bank Finance Reform Puts Responsibility back on the Very People who Failed the Country in the Latest Crisis: The Regulators! Next time, The Democrats (Dodd, Frank, Summers) will only have themselves to Blame!

The Gift that Keeps on Giving! Excellent... On Top of the 185 Billion Bailout, Tax payers can Anti Up Another $725 Million for AIG's Sins!

"It's a great sight but it's far from the finish line," Doug Suttles, a senior BP executive, told reporters.

To Use the Administration's Analogy, "W" Not Only Helped Run the Car/U.S. Into the Ditch, but Nearly Totaled It...

AIG and Off Balance Sheet Accounting...

"Investors have shunned private-equity stocks since Blackstone, the largest buyout firm, sold shares three years ago, just as the credit crisis ended a three-year boom with $1.6 trillion in announced deals, many of which have yet to turn a profit."

The Goldman Fine is Laughable - Goldman Earns a 550 Million in Two Weeks Time!

"Unfortunately, the bill does very little to make our system safer.” The Cornerstone of the Next Crisis has been Set!

“I know what they’re against, but I don’t know what they’re for,” Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. said of the Republicans as he unveiled the report. “I mean that literally.”

Such news only emphasized the gulf between Main Street and Wall Street.

The Crowding Out Affect? Time to start buying Gold?

News Net Services May have Reported: It is widely Rumored that "Death," himself (aka the Grim Reaper), Is Afraid to Approach the Ailing Cheney, Out of Fear of Reprisals....

FED: “The economic outlook had softened somewhat and a number of members saw the risks to the outlook as having shifted to the downside,” minutes released today in Washington said.

China appears to be in a race, to join the E.U. and the U.S., in trashing their Currency!

Chamber of Commerce Advocates Fiscal Irresponsibility in the Face of Mounting Budget Deficits!

Amen to That!

“We remain fully committed to delivering on AIG’s core priorities: repaying taxpayers, meeting all of the company’s obligations to its various stakeholders, and restructuring the company so that it emerges as a smaller, more focused enterprise..."

Global Economic Recovery Map...

"Furthermore, 50 percent of the participants said that such corruption gives the Taliban political capital and helps their insurgency."

Like U.S. Bank Regulation, Basel III Gets Watered Down: "European banks appear more highly levered than their U.S. counterparts partly because U.S. accounting rules allow more assets to be kept off balance sheets than European standards do."

"The U.S. Treasury Department has been selling some of its equity stake in Citigroup, and on July 1 said it had reduced that stake to 17.6 percent from about 27 percent."

S&L's Almost Gone: Embraced Deregulation and Leverage

Benmosche had asked the board for more time to explore options for AIA, besides just an IPO, sources had said earlier.

"Jack is the only budget director in history to preside over a budget surplus for three consecutive years," Obama said.

"Instead, companies with access to the huge tank facilities at Cushing have reaped big profits by storing crude and committing it for sale later."

Retro Blog: Even before the Gulf Disaster...

Don't UPSET the Governator!

"This situation is our nation's very immediate analog of the public finance pressures being felt in Europe."

Goldman Being Sued: Frequently and Often!

Despite Chinese Labor Savings, and a 150% Profit Load Over Cost, the IPhone has Software Flaws...

OUCH!!!

“We have never seen a site where the notion ‘I could die today’ was so real."

"The American Petroleum Institute, quickly criticized the new order, saying it would worsen the economic hardship already being felt across the Gulf Coast." Perhaps the Institute should consider the hardship created if there is another spill?

Wanted: New Comptroller of the Currency!

The Successful Merger of Washington and Wall Street Banks Is Nearly Complete!

Too Big to Fail, Alive and Well, as is Moral Hazard. For Europe, Bank Bailout III? “I am confident that national authorities will take the necessary actions so that it isn’t a problem.”

On Your Mark... Get Ready.... Get Set....MONETIZE!!!!

New York-based Goldman Sachs was the biggest underwriter of CDOs taken over by Maiden Lane III (that is to say, the U.S. TAXPAYER!).

With Washington Abdicating Any and All Responsibility to Rein in Wall Street - Through Pending Dodd-Frank Legislation - Wall Street Gets Ready to Play Again....

All Politicians Who Voted to Bail Out the Street, with No Strings Attached, and Then Voted Again, to Continue Business as Usual on Wall Street (Under Dodd-Frank): Shoud be Voted Out of Office...

“You had an intellectual conviction that you did not need much regulation — that the market could take care of itself,” Volcker says. “I’m happy that illusion has been shattered.”

BP was successfully diverting an estimated 25% of the Spill... Now they are diverting None!

"By contrast, big worries, about a double-dip, sovereign-debt and looming junk bonds maturing in 2012 and beyond, now hang over the market."

"...since stiffing your banker is now 'socially acceptable, deleveraging needn't entail the pesky inconvenience of foregoing consumption,' and she predicts more homeowners will exploit this opportunity 'to accelerate balance-sheet repair.'"

SIGTARP???

Retro Blog: Prescient Words from Mr. Whalen: "(Government) makes the problem worse," Whalen said. "We should just get on with it, resolve AIG now and get them into a restructuring. If we don't, we will muddle through this crisis for a decade."

Goldman and Abacus Revisited...

Currency Manipulator? ".... China said it was scrapping a two-year peg to the dollar and allowed a 0.8 percent gain in the last three weeks."

“It’s not a matter of panic, it’s not a matter of irrationality. It’s a coldhearted and clearheaded consideration of options.”

‘Well, she didn’t mean that,’” he said. “They say there was some confusion. And I’m sure she meant ‘slush fund’ in the nicest possible way.”

“The size of the intelligence community hasn’t changed since the cold war ended.”

"Google is not the only American giant that has had trouble in China. Yahoo and eBay have failed to gain significant traction here. And Facebook, Twitter and YouTube are blocked by the government."

India's Caste System on Full Display with Honor Killings...

Europe's Economy

The Gipper - a Keynesian? Absolutely!

“The rich are different: they are more ruthless,” said Sam Khater, CoreLogic’s senior economist.

Is it Circa 1995, and Will Obama Employ Dick Morris or His Strategies, like Clinton?

If Jindall is worried about the loss of tourism, fishing fleet, and oil business now, just think what will happen to Louisiana business if another spill occurs?

"If confirmed by the Senate as the top officer of the military’s Central Command, General Mattis would be in charge of American military forces in a strategic area from Egypt through Pakistan, and from Central Asia past the Persian Gulf."

"The lofty jobless rate, coupled with a large backlog of home foreclosures and high levels of negative home equity, posed risks of a "double dip" in the housing market, it said. But the IMF said it did not think a renewed recession was likely."

“Goldman repeatedly put its own interests and profits ahead of the interests of its clients and our communities,” Senator Carl Levin, a Michigan Democrat, said at the hearing.

“There is no real question that China’s exchange-rate policy is unfair, contributes to global trade imbalances, and costs the United States jobs and economic growth, particularly in the manufacturing sector.”

Judge Martin L. C. Feldman said the Obama administration had failed to justify the need for “a blanket, generic, indeed punitive, moratorium” on deepwater oil and gas drilling.

"Trade is a particularly difficult issue for many Democrats, especially in an election year when jobs are already scarce, because of a widespread view that American workers suffer disproportionately when the United States lowers trade barriers."

"In Norway, Transocean is the subject of a criminal investigation into possible tax fraud."

“We are definitely concerned with the impact our activities have on our Afghan relationships,” Colonel Lawhorn said.

Spill Cam!

"Dead Parrot"

“After that, however, we remain skeptical on the long term prospects for BP."

"S&P has issued at least one downgrade to $2.3 trillion of $3.3 trillion of U.S. residential securities created in 2005, 2006 and 2007, and last year it lowered approximately $3.5 trillion of about $10 trillion of securitized debt it rates worldwide."

"Citigroup sold the (Private Equity) portfolio at a slight discount to its net asset value."

“Glue,” Mr. Issa said, is his secret. “That and a lot of spray.”

Wal-Mart V. OSHA!

Record Breaking IPO's for China's Banks. China Comes of Age in Playing the Market!

With Inflation, quite often, It's about the Expectations: "Higher inflation expectations usually prompt companies to increase prices and consumers to push for higher wages."

"Apple can cope better than most companies because it has fat profit margins of as much as 60 percent and pricing power to absorb some of those costs." Apple's Profit load is 150% Mark Up Over Cost!

"This is far from a long-term endorsement of the euro as the problems leading to its multi-month decline are not over."

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