J.M. Hamilton - Blog
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BLOG.JMHAMILTONPUBLISHING.COM: Monthly Archives for August 2011

Always Cutting Edge... Often Prescient: J.M. Hamilton Blog....

Nobody thinks that utility-operating companies – whether in transport, such as railways, in energy, such as electricity, or telephone or water – are too big to fail.

Clearly, everybody in Washington -- from the Fed to Congress and especially the White House -- feels the pressure to do something, anything, to improve the jobs picture.

The Buffett investment just might turn out to erode, not increase, confidence. And not only for Bank of America, but for the banking sector as a whole.

The timing of the raid, however, highlighted this peculiar type of Russian risk for another company — ExxonMobil, which just a day earlier agreed to take over the very Arctic exploration deal that fell through for BP.

The Wall Street bond firm dove further into the gambling world on Wednesday....

The most likely scenario is that the ECB will, again, make a U-turn before reaching the abyss (as it did with secondary bond-market purchases).

AT&T is working to bolster its case as analysts become less certain that the acquisition will be approved.

But with gold trading at such grand heights, a little caution is in order.

She rightly called for: rebalancing global trade by stimulating demand in developing countries with big export surpluses; more aggressive mortgage relief in the United States; and giving job creation priority over deficit reduction in the United States an

Unlike a private lawsuit alleging negligence, the Justice Department’s nonprosecution agreement with Google involved an assertion that the company aided a criminal violation

Some committee members said they wanted to set a calendar deadline, and others preferred to instead peg interest rates to a specific rate of unemployment or inflation.

“They got away with BP, because the deal was seen as BP having two Russian wives.”

She said cyberbullying increased at her school last year, with students texting or posting mean messages about classmates.

A Back Door Bailout for the American Consumer.... Why Not.... Up Until Now All the Bailouts Have been for the Plutocracy! And Banks!

“The banks really feel entitled to hide their deteriorating positions until they require life support. That’s what we have to change."

Unfortunately, weakness at Bank of America generates systemic risk, undermines overall market confidence and magnifies the risk of another recession...

The world is watching Germany’s extreme energy makeover, as politicians from New York to Rome have floated their own plans to shut or shelve reactors.

Read about it on the J.M. Hamilton Blog before it Happens.... This Weekend a New Editorial...

The J.M. Hamilton Blog, Prescient as Usual...

Capital One has argued that unlike such institutions as Goldman Sachs, it does not engage in risky trading.

Lagarde also said US policymakers should do more to ensure that house prices were not hit by another downward spiral.

Global distressed debt and equity investor Lone Star won the remaining five pools of sub-performing and non-performing loans.

Buffett’s investment likely signals not that he is confident that Bank of America is a good bet, but rather that he is confident that the government will again step in and bailout the bank

“As greed knows no boundaries, carry traders will always return as long as the yield is favorable.”

“How much we translate to Syria remains to be seen.”

“It’s hard to imagine big institutions achieving their precrisis profitability levels, and even the community and regional banks are faced with the same problems.”

Sophisticated governments will realize that “shutting down radicalizes things.”

A. M. Best said the year’s series of major disasters would hurt insurers’ earnings, but was unlikely to threaten their capital.

American Airlines said it had canceled 1,161 flights over the weekend, mainly in the New York and Washington areas, and had already canceled 89 more so far for Monday.

But in Britain, the foiling of his antigovernment plot — he was put to death — is celebrated as a holiday, Nov. 5 or Guy Fawkes Day, and is commemorated with bonfires and fireworks.

So how has Mr. Romney, the other leading contender for the G.O.P. nomination, responded to Mr. Perry’s challenge? In trademark fashion: By running away.

Mr. Bush oversaw a substantial increase in the size and scope of the federal government, both in post-9/11 security programs and in social programs like the creation of a prescription drug benefit for Medicare.

The stock's implied volatility fell to around 90% from 124%, which means the shares now are priced as only twice as risky as the entire financial sector, rather than three times so.

Unlike other risk-management systems, HiddenLevers doesn't just tell you that you're screwed; it helps find hedging strategies."

Bernanke admitted that, while this is the ninth quarter of recovery, growth has lagged significantly behind the Fed's expectations.

In My Time

“Developments this summer have indicated that we are in a dangerous new phase,” she continued. “The stakes are clear: we risk seeing the fragile recovery derailed.”

“We want to protect consumers, but we also don’t want to alarm consumers so they stay away from the whole marketplace.”

"The culture of other countries doesn’t support the kind of innovation that Steve Jobs exemplifies, as America does."

“I’m a big fan of more information. I’m the Mistress of Communications.”

Could he quit? “Well, I can’t decide; both my wife and the drug are strong,” he said and lay back down.

This is the true awfulness of immortality.

"In other words, the Fed has pretty much done as much as it can."

I found most of the 50-odd financial experts at a conclave at Leen's Lodge in Grand Lake Stream, Maine, to be even more pessimistic than my roommate at the event -- economist Nouriel Roubini, a.k.a. "Dr. Doom."

It was the clearest expression yet of the government’s growing concern about its inability to curb free expression on the Internet....

The Steve Jobs I watched that week was arrogant, sarcastic, thoughtful, learned, paranoid and “insanely” (to use one of his favorite words) charismatic.

We simply can’t keep turning to pills and prisons to solve issues of poverty and poor parenting.

“Every tyrant has his end.”

"Key for the Fed is employment."

“The country would be well served by a better process for making fiscal decisions.”

"Warren Buffett got a sweetheart deal."

"The oil is there in the ground."

“The lack of a QE3 outline today, to the extent that is disappointing to some, does not mean that outline is not coming in the future.”

Only in rare instances do directors and officers have to make out-of-pocket payments in shareholders’ suits.

"The fund firm’s redemption policies vary according to which funds and which fee structures are involved, say people with knowledge of the firm’s policies.."

Capital Strike and Flight: "Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos has made repeated appeals in recent weeks for wealthy Greeks and companies to repatriate the money they have sent abroad."

“All the banks can borrow as much as they need, but at some point if it is a solvency problem, it is an issue for governments.”

Frederick A. Goodwin, the disgraced former chief executive of Royal Bank of Scotland, used to lose his temper...

It was one of the worst mergers ever. B of A has yet to reach the bottom of the sinkhole of legal liability created by Countrywide’s reckless lending policies.

"Possibly, but it's far from a done deal."

The Real Deal on Bank of America: By Bloomberg, Tom Keene, Ken Prewitt, and Christopher Whalen....

Don't Read Anything into Mr. Buffett's Investment into BOA, which remains a House of Cards, Mr. Buffett knows BOA is Insured by the Federal Goverment!

God Save Us...

With the Fed also intimidated into inaction, it’s hard to see any end to the ongoing economic disaster.

“All tax relief is not created equal.”

“We have a duty to protect people,” he added, “and that’s always balanced with human rights, online or offline. It’s no different now.”

“The suggestion that the Central Intelligence Agency has requested redactions on this publication because it doesn’t like the content is ridiculous. The C.I.A.’s pre-publication review process looks solely at the issue of whether information is classified

"Thank you, Mr. Jobs, for an incredible run. The worlds of culture, media and technology have never seen anything like you."

"No matter which way you slice it, there’s probably going to be hurricane-force winds in New York."

In essence, high-yield companies have fully taken advantage of the Federal Reserve's low-interest policy.

The wide spreads suggest that dealers are not confident about what lies ahead. Indeed, a mistake could prove costly.

“The serious problem is speculation against financial institutions and sovereigns using naked credit default swaps.”

“Sunday, all day, could be a really bad day” for the Northeast, Mr. Feltgen said.

Colonel Qaddafi urged Libyans in a brief audio broadcast to cleanse Tripoli of the insurgents, whom he called “rats, crusaders and unbelievers.”

"Mr. Buffett has played the role of savior before."

"Paulson, 55, has scaled back bullish bets after losses this year. His firm last quarter cut its stake in Bank of America Corp. stock..."

"There is a desire to hold dollars over euros."

FCC Asks AT&T for More Data

“Nothing like advocating tax equality when you are charging $35,800 a ticket.”

The September contract on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slumped up to 0.6 percent after Jobs released his statement

“Unfortunately, that day has come.”

Already this year, however, 364 cars have been set ablaze.

"The debate over rebalancing China’s economy comes at a particularly tense time in the nation’s political life, so there is little political will to push ahead with economic reforms..."

"The higher deficits would bring total public debt through 2021 to 82 percent of gross domestic product rather than 61 percent..."

"While he praises Mr. Bush as 'an outstanding leader,' Mr. Cheney, who made guarding the secrecy of internal deliberations a hallmark of his time in office..."

It is by no means certain, analysts say, that things will go that smoothly for Apple.

Additionally, the privacy option that is now called “everyone” will instead be called “public.”

"Mr. Perry insists on unquestioned political loyalty in exchange for his patronage, no matter how inappropriate or out of place."

"This strategy is for traders who want to embrace risk at a time when the U.S. stock market and economy are at a crossroads."

"So, all eyes are on this year's meeting to see what Bernanke will unveil to spur a sputtering recovery."

"That same day CIT stock hit a 52-week intraday low."

“Investors are paring down positions in gold on expectations Bernanke will do something to boost equity prices.”

“Jobs has been a strong figure in the company historically, but he hasn’t been a driving force for the past two years.”

“Some blogs are speculating about rumors of merger talks with J.P. Morgan Chase, which are baseless and don’t even make practical sense.”

"It is not class warfare to suggest that the richest 1 percent of people in society pay one-third of their income to the federal government, as they did under Ronald Reagan."

“It is enriched with elaborate carving, in the style of the Italian Renaissance."

“Somehow banks have to make the equation work. In the long term, there will be far fewer bankers than there were.”

Congress is expected to take another hard look at raising the tax rate on carried interest...

German Chancellor Angela Merkel yesterday rejected demands that Greece provide collateral for emergency loans as splits emerged in her Cabinet

Calendar

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