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BLOG.JMHAMILTONPUBLISHING.COM: Monthly Archives for February 2012

The PIMCO defensive strategy playbook

Now, industry officials will have to decide whether the credit-default swaps will pay out.

At the end of 2011, Goldman Sachs had sold $142.4 billion of single-name swaps, contracts that pay out in the event of a default, on the five countries, the firm said yesterday in an annual filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Below, we examine the myths surrounding private equity by revisiting the top 10 leveraged buyout deals.

Compensation has posed a dilemma at Wall Street firms. The issue has proved a lightning rod for politicians and critics who contend that the industry’s pay packages are too high.

In their annual reports with the S.E.C., Goldman and Wells Fargo said that they had received Wells notices from the regulator over unidentified sets of mortgage-backed securities.

“You have to get your costs and where you spend your time, to the fullest extent possible, more in line with where the opportunity is.”

While banks largely have managed to keep their structured equity derivatives out of the regulatory spotlight, they are under increasing pressure to be more transparent about their credit-derivatives business.

“People were afraid the euro would break up or something really bad would happen. The very fact that something bad is less likely is an important step and that will help the real economy.”

LTRO

In Cairo, the murky proceedings surrounding the case turned even murkier Tuesday night when state media reported that the judge had abruptly removed himself. The case will now start with a new judge.

But the possibility that Israel will launch a pre-emptive strike has become a focus of American policy makers and is expected to be a primary topic when Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel meets with President Obama at the White House on Monday.

Several major global banks, including Citigroup Inc, HSBC Holdings Plc, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and UBS AG, have disclosed that they have been approached by authorities investigating how Libor is set.

"This is going to be a long, drawn-out marathon. It feels like a political death march."

"The groundswell is enormous," said Mr. Fellows, who is supporting Mr. Santorum. "And the people supporting Rick Santorum are solidly behind him. The other candidates' numbers aren't solid."

BCA Daily Insights from the Bank Credit Analyst organization also sees a prolonged period of negative real yields on Treasuries -- that is, less than the rate of inflation -- as a result of the Fed's efforts. Indeed, the market is forecasting the fed-fund

In the latest sign that moderate Republicans feel passé, Senator Olympia Snowe of Maine shockingly announced her retirement, decrying “ ‘my way or the highway’ ideologies” and a vanishing political center.

“I have often said that the use of a university is to make young gentlemen as unlike their fathers as possible.”

“Now what we need is a strong political leader to do something to get us out of the moral slump that we’re in.”

PRIVATE EQUITY DEAL GONE BUST: TXU

“Apple and app makers should be making sure people understand what they are consenting to. It is pretty obvious that they aren’t doing a good enough job of that.”

The F.D.A. said that routine monitoring of liver enzymes in the blood, once considered standard procedure for statin users, was no longer needed because the liver injury associated with statin therapy was so rare.

The Arab/Muslim awakening phase is over. Now we are deep into the counter-revolutionary phase, as the dead hands of the past try to strangle the future.

Shipments of non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, used in calculating gross domestic product, decreased 3.1 percent, the most since April 2009, after rising 2.8 percent.

“Our preliminary investigation shows that it is extremely difficult to know exactly which data is combined between which services for which purposes, even for trained privacy professionals.”

“Europe is one of the world’s greatest investment opportunities right now,” Mr. Rubenstein said at SuperReturn International. “There’s no part of the world that will see so much assets sold at a discount as in Europe.”

Bank of America is seeking to resolve liabilities from its purchase of Countrywide Financial in 2008.

Amazon.com, the world’s largest online retailer, surpassed Samsung as the No. 2 seller of tablet computers last quarter, shipping 3.89 million units, according to research firm IHS Inc.

“Investment defense is coming of age.”

Mr. Santorum’s most tangible advantage is probably that he has outperformed the polls in several previous states; Mr. Romney’s is that he has banked an advantage from early voters.

CME has been criticized for how it responded to the crisis at MF Global.

Senator Olympia Snowe, Republican of Maine, Will Not Seek Re-election

Because many view reverse merger companies with suspicion, it is not surprising that so many companies listed in the U.S. through a reverse merger face legal difficulties – no matter where they are headquartered.

Warren Buffett disclosed that Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK)’s foreign-government debt holdings are comprised mostly of securities from Germany, the U.K., Canada, Australia and the Netherlands

"It's cheaper to pay a monthly retainer to a lawyer than a $20,000 mortgage payment on an underwater loan," says Christopher Fountain, a Greenwich, Conn., real-estate broker.

In 2008 and 2011, when Fed actions previously helped driven fuel and food prices sharply higher, the real purchasing power of average American families was battered by paying $4 a gallon for gasoline.

But if you dug into the (AIG) numbers, it quickly became clear that $17.7 billion of that profit was pure fantasy — a tax benefit, er, gift, from the United States government.

“The corporations have a lot of money and are very attractive targets,” said Northwestern University law professor Eugene Kontorovich, an expert in international law. “The idea is that they were in bed with the countries.”

“What happens in Davos stays in Davos,” many people said, but even when you’re there it’s hard to know what is happening in Davos.

"I think the rating coming out of default of the Hellenic Republic will give some indication of what the likelihood of another restructuring down the road would be."

“It’s the mercenary side of Buffett,” said Jeff Matthews, a Berkshire shareholder

But the rearview camera requirement is one of the biggest steps taken to protect people outside of a vehicle.

When God finally gets tired of waiting it out and decides to end things, the back-and-forth between dragons and serpents and sea monsters and Jesus is less like a scouring of the stables than like a Giants-Patriots Super Bowl.

Greece’s credit ratings were cut to “Selective Default” by Standard & Poor’s yesterday.

Washington Post - Federal Budget - Graphic

“It is now clear that withdrawal timetables will continue to accelerate, cutbacks will continue to grow and popular attention will continue to shift away from Afghanistan.”

“It’s not clear to me when Greece returns to growth under this policy mix. The fiscal policy is excessively tight, and Greece is being pushed down a totally self-defeating path.”

There are signs that the era of low borrowing costs may be approaching its end, as the domestic economy shows signs of strength and Europe pulls back from economic immolation.

"Now I’m thinking like it’s 15 or a little more. It’s within reach. It’s within our lifetime. It’s going to happen.”

President Obama, who endorsed the Volcker rule, needs to stand up for it. And regulators need to stand up to the banks and their lobbyists and implement the law.

All across the nation, there are mainstream Republicans lamenting how the party has grown more and more insular, more and more rigid.

Now it’s Rick Santorum who blinks in the spotlight’s glare.

"Stratfor will not be silenced..."

Perhaps Private Equity should LBO JP Morgan?

Other private-equity peers, like the Carlyle Group, agreed to cut management fees for certain large investors to half the industry standard in order to raise a $2.3 billion real-estate fund.

Berkshire Annual Letter

An army of lawyers and regulators has been struggling to reclaim about $1.6 billion in funds that belong to farmers, grain operators and traders like hedge funds.

IMF... No Can Do... !

European leaders shift their focus this week to bolstering the euro region’s debt-crisis firewall after the Group of 20 nations rebuffed their call for help.

Loans to companies fell at their fastest pace on record in December when the euro zone's debt crisis intensified, and the European Commission has predicted a euro zone recession.

Gordon Gekko, the character played by actor Michael Douglas in the movie “Wall Street,” is the New York FBI office’s newest weapon in its arsenal to combat insider trading.

The billionaire, at a meeting yesterday at the Metropolitan Club in New York, said the metal is the best hedge against currency debasement as countries inject money into their economies

Billabong shares rose above the offer price today, the first time since it announced the TPG bid on Feb. 17.

The testimony may prove damaging to the News Corporation, the American-based parent of Mr. Murdoch’s media empire, if it gives ammunition to the F.B.I. and other agencies that are investigating the company for possible prosecution under the Foreign Corrup

Perhaps Private Equity should LBO JP Morgan?

Just like the general public, we along with many others in the finance world, were outraged and furious at colleagues who had damaged, if not destroyed, our livelihoods.”

Many industry analysts and experts say a quick settlement is in BP's best interest.

Europe “doesn’t really need any outside money,” Jim O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said in an e-mail. “It needs their own policy makers, especially Germany, to show leadership.”

Roubini's Greene speaks with Bloomberg's Sara Eisen and Michael McKee on "Bloomberg On the Economy."

Did I mention that Sweden, which still has a very generous welfare state, is currently a star performer, with economic growth faster than that of any other wealthy nation?

“That makes me throw up,” Santorum said, adding later, “I don’t believe in an America where the separation of church and state is absolute.”

That puts the spotlight on Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, to agree to raise the region’s anti-crisis firewall to a potential 750 billion euros ($1 trillion) at a March 1-2 European summit.

Crony Communism?

Among the risk factors listed in Facebook’s filing for a public offering is the prospect of “adverse changes in our products that are mandated by legislation, regulatory authorities, or litigation, including settlements or consent decrees.”

“The material contains privileged information about the U.S. government’s attacks against Julian Assange and WikiLeaks and Stratfor’s own attempts to subvert WikiLeaks,” the group said.

The attack, albeit an unsuccessful one, provides a rare glimpse into the recruiting, reconnaissance and warfare tactics used by the shadowy hacking collective.

The spate of legislation has helped Democrats register more Latino voters and increase turnout in local elections, similar to what happened in California after Republicans supported tough immigration measures

“It would be a costly mistake to spend millions of taxpayer dollars” building an exchange before the Supreme Court issues its decision in a challenge to the health care law, which is expected in late June.

“There is no less a commitment to a long-term relationship with Afghanistan,” the official said. “But is there a concern now that many will question the need to stay? Yes — especially in an election year.”

“All of a sudden, every teenage girl has an iPhone,” Mr. Walkley said. “The real danger is that Apple becomes so mainstream that there is a breakaway by consumers to something new.”

Firefox was one of the first to include a Do Not Track option.

It responded to several cases of Brady violations by its attorneys — including egregious misconduct in the case of the late Senator Ted Stevens — by providing more training and by directing each United States attorney’s office

Thursday 1: Reports on a raft of important data, including personal income and spending, weekly jobless claims and vehicle sales.

Bloomberg: Messrs. Levitt and Volcker!

Semantics aside, the founders of Bain Capital originally saw the firm not as an LBO or private equity shop, but as a venture capital concern.

Cannonball Aderley - Spectacular

So Why Are Prices Going Up at the Pump? - JMH - “The U.S. has reversed a two-decade-long decline in energy independence, increasing the proportion of demand met from domestic sources over the last six years to an estimated 81 percent..."

“It makes the party look like it isn’t a modern party,” Rudy Giuliani told CNN’s Erin Burnett, fretting about the candidates’ Cotton Mather attitude about women and gays. “It doesn’t understand the modern world that we live in.”

The allegations paint a picture of executives hell-bent on loading their companies with shaky loans to boost their bonuses.

These figures could mean that China’s long-awaited economic rebalancing has already begun, especially if the sharp decline in the country’s trade surplus from 7.5% of GDP in 2007 to 2.1% in 2011

Losses from credit-default contracts, in which Buffett bets on the ability of borrowers to repay debt, widened to $216 million from $157 million a year earlier.

Apple was continuing “active discussions” about what to do with its $97.6 billion in cash and investments, saying the cash hoard was “more than we need to run a company.”

Moral hazard sounds like the name of a video game set in a bordello, but in economic terms it refers to the undue risks that people are apt to take if they don’t have to bear the consequences.

“The race is going to go a long time,” he said after addressing a meeting here of Americans for Prosperity, a conservative group.

After shunning the concept for years, Massachusetts, seeking solutions to its budget woes, last fall became the first New England state to pass a broad law allowing resort casinos. Now others may not be far behind.

Separately, there were reports that an American drone aircraft had crashed in North Waziristan, along the Afghan border.

Her American Conservative Union rating jumped from 48 percent in 2009 to 64 percent a year later.

Mr. Santorum said that Mr. Romney and Mr. Paul had tag-teamed him during Wednesday night’s debate in Arizona, and he derisively referred to Mr. Paul as Mr. Romney’s “wingman.”

Monopoly money can now be counted by a tablet computer. Hot Wheels cars can zoom across iPad screens. And Barbie? She’s become a digital camera.

While victims of Mr. Madoff’s fraud, like most Ponzi victims, condemned their accused betrayer in court as a monster, many of Mr. Beachy’s investors have said in court that it is more important to forgive him than to recover their money.

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  2. He also said the country's banking crisis does not begin and end with Bankia.
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  4. If Morgan Stanley is barred from moving its derivatives portfolio it will raise questions about why rivals such as Goldman Sachs have been allowed to do so in the past.
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  6. American agents all seem to have a story about suspicious Mexican Army activity.
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  7. “If you look over the next six months, ultimately the incentives are” there to keep “the euro zone all together. We’re possibly at an inflection point.”
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  10. Even human rights groups are not demanding intervention.
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