ISM: "Indications are that 2012 business environment will improve over 2011."

FOR RELEASE: February 1, 2012

January 2012 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®

PMI at 54.1%

 

DO NOT CONFUSE THIS NATIONAL REPORT with the various regional purchasing reports released across the country. The national report's information reflects the entire United States, while the regional reports contain primarily regional data from their local vicinities. Also, the information in the regional reports is not used in calculating the results of the national report. The information compiled in this report is for the month of January 2012.

This report reflects the U.S. Department of Commerce's recently completed annual adjustment to the seasonal factors used to calculate the indexes.

 

New Orders, Production and Employment Growing
Supplier Deliveries Slower
Inventories Contracting

 

(Tempe, Arizona) — Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in January for the 30th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 32nd consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Bradley J. Holcomb, CPSM, CPSD, chair of the Institute for Supply Management™ Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The PMI registered 54.1 percent, an increase of 1 percentage point from December's seasonally adjusted reading of 53.1 percent, indicating expansion in the manufacturing sector for the 30th consecutive month. The New Orders Index increased 2.8 percentage points from December's seasonally adjusted reading to 57.6 percent, reflecting the 33rd consecutive month of growth in new orders. Prices of raw materials increased for the first time in the last four months. Manufacturing is starting out the year on a positive note, with new orders, production and employment all growing in January."

PERFORMANCE BY INDUSTRY

Of the 18 manufacturing industries, nine are reporting growth in January, in the following order: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Machinery; Computer & Electronic Products; Transportation Equipment; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Fabricated Metal Products; Paper Products; and Primary Metals. The seven industries reporting contraction in January — listed in order — are: Plastics & Rubber Products; Furniture & Related Products; Wood Products; Chemical Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; and Textile Mills.

WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ...

  • "Still seeing raw materials pricing moving down in general, but expect inflation later in the quarter." (Chemical Products)
  • "Year starting a little slow, but customers are positive about increased business in 2012." (Machinery)
  • "Once again, business continues to be strong." (Paper Products)
  • "Pricing remains in check with the demand we are seeing. Supplier deliveries are on time or early." (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
  • "The economy seems to be slowly improving." (Fabricated Metal Products)
  • "Business lost to offshore is coming back." (Computer & Electronic Products)
  • "Business remains strong. Order intake is great — more than 20 percent above budget." (Primary Metals)
  • "Indications are that 2012 business environment will improve over 2011." (Transportation Equipment)
  • "Market conditions appear to be improving, with the outlook for 2012 better yet." (Wood Products)

MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE
JANUARY 2012



Index

Series
Index
Jan

Series
Index
Dec

Percentage
Point
Change



Direction

Rate
of
Change


Trend*
(Months)

PMI

54.1

53.1

+1.0

Growing

Faster

30

New Orders

57.6

54.8

+2.8

Growing

Faster

33

Production

55.7

58.9

-3.2

Growing

Slower

32

Employment

54.3

54.8

-0.5

Growing

Slower

28

Supplier Deliveries

53.6

51.5

+2.1

Slowing

Faster

31

Inventories

49.5

45.5

+4.0

Contracting

Slower

4

Customers' Inventories

47.5

42.5

+5.0

Too Low

Slower

2

Prices

55.5

47.5

+8.0

Increasing

From Decreasing

1

Backlog of Orders

52.5

48.0

+4.5

Growing

From Contracting

1

Exports

55.0

53.0

+2.0

Growing

Faster

3

Imports

52.5

54.0

-1.5

Growing

Slower

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OVERALL ECONOMY

Growing

Faster

32

Manufacturing Sector

Growing

Faster

30

*Number of months moving in current direction.
Indexes reflect newly released seasonal adjustment factors.

 

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