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BLOG.JMHAMILTONPUBLISHING.COM: Category Archive for Economics

The specter of funding problems is once again haunting Europe's banks.

But that's not all: Many loans will probably need to be written off entirely

G-8 leaders on May 19 urged Greece to stay within the euro area as polls in the country showed a close race between parties supporting and opposing the EU’s bailout deal.

With the European crisis heating up and concerns about economic growth in the U.S. and China, money once again is pouring into safe U.S. government debt

About 45 protesters were arrested on Sunday, and at least four officers were injured, according to the Chicago Police superintendent

Will we get that kind of regulation? Not if Mr. Romney wins, obviously; he wants to repeal Dodd-Frank, and in general has made it clear that he would do everything in his power to set us up for another financial crisis.

The trend began well before the crash, and appears to be driven by a variety of factors, including financial concerns, quality-of-life issues and a gradual erosion of gender stereotypes.

London relies heavily on international finance and banking instability would strike a fresh blow to an economy already in recession.

Bloomberg Surveillance: With Ken Prewitt and Tom Keene

“The slowdown in Asia which we’ll see in the very near term will catch the markets off guard,” Mahmud said in a May 16 interview.

Wednesday 23: European heads of state meet and are likely to address relaxing deficit targets. Germany sells bonds that could have a zero coupon.

The Bloomberg Billionaires Index takes measure of the world’s wealthiest people based on market and economic changes and Bloomberg News reporting.

Our study finds that divorce rates and tax rates together on average explain 58% of the difference in terms of hours worked between the US and 17 European countries.

In keeping with tradition, the decree was formally posted at the entrance of the Greek parliament.

Oil prices might go as high as $160 per barrel if the European Union goes ahead with a July 1 embargo, Hosseini told CNN’s “Fareed Zakaria GPS” in an interview scheduled to air tomorrow.

Mr. Tsipras said: “The healthy businesses here have nothing to fear from a government that’s going to try to stop this poison. Healthy businesses understand that austerity curbs consumption.”

“They’ve gone way past fat and are cutting into muscle,” said Bruce R. Bartlett, who was a Treasury official in the Reagan administration.

“The fact of the matter is that this aging-but-not-yet-aged segment of the baby boomer class can’t afford to retire,” said David A. Rosenberg

“It’s not necessary for G-8 leaders to agree on what the relative burdens of austerity and stimulus are but if what we want is to avoid another Lehman-panic scenario...."

Greece is the leading problem, but if Greece leaves the euro currency there is widespread concern that Spain, with a much larger economy, would follow it.

The war of the sexes --- VOX Talks!

QE also would be the easiest expedient for the European Central Bank to ease -- if not fix -- the region's debt crisis.

Dimon Oversaw Bets, and the Losses may grow for JP Morgan: Bloomberg

Jamie Dimon has a week to forget.

I would say that there is maybe a 30% chance in the next six-month to two-year period of a really bad shock from Europe.

“We want Greece to stay in the euro,” Schaeuble said. “But that presupposes that Greece does on its side what is necessary to develop its economy.”

Still, one of the parlor games here is the effort by many to distinguish themselves from the much maligned coterie of bankers and other members of the 1 percent in places like New York and Boston.

One of the worst things you can do for your standard of living is go to college, borrowing heavily to do so, then drop out.

“Greece is not a big deal in itself. It’s not a major risk and our banks and insurance companies certainly would be able to absorb it,” Mr. Baroin told Europe 1, a French radio station on Tuesday.

Ms. Merkel is now insisting that she wants Greece to remain, but it will take more than kind words to change things.

“They can’t leave any stone unturned,” Ms. Landes said. “Now they have to make sure that everything is squeaky clean.”

“As always, we will continue to be open and transparent with our regulators and Congress,” she said.

“Now there are 30 plans of varying degrees of quality with shovel-ready projects donors could invest in today, but instead donors have put their money in other things.”

Returning to a national currency after more than a decade of using the euro and having its money managed by the European Central Bank would catapult Greece into a financial, legal and political no man's land.

I wish I could say that I was optimistic.

Worries about Greece’s political and financial future, with political upheaval in the broader euro zone, have driven equity losses in recent weeks, sending the S.& P. 500 down 5.9 percent since the end of March.

The change reflects Mr. Bernanke’s emphasis on fostering discussion and debate among committee members. His immediate predecessor, Alan Greenspan, had treated the meetings as formalities.

TRIPLE WHAMMY

"When President Obama says, 'Look, we stabilized the financial system, we put in stimulus and the economy walked back from the brink of collapse' ... it's very hard to do the counterfactual. But now, Europe is the counterfactual," said Laura D'Andrea Tyso

Dawn Dearden, a D.E.A. spokeswoman, confirmed that American agents had been present alongside Honduran counterparts at both episodes.

It's one thing to throw a few bucks into office pool to play Mega-Millions. But there are anecdotes of parents seeking to put their kids college funds into the Facebook IPO.

“The political class in Europe still has solidarity with Greek politicians, with the exception of the radical left,” Mr. Krämer said.

The number of U.S. workers filing new applications for unemployment benefits was essentially flat last week, suggesting that the recently volatile labor market is stabilizing.

“A Greek exit was seen as an absurdity up to now,” said Thomas Costerg, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London.

Some of these traders would get their revenge on Mr. Iksil months later, taking the other side of bets that contributed to the more than $2 billion of losses for J.P. Morgan

The risk of a run on Greek banks is “a very serious problem,” Yannis Ioannides, professor of economics at Tufts University in Massachusetts

The challenge now is to ensure a Greek exit doesn't lead to the entire single currency falling apart with unknowable but potentially cataclysmic consequences.

RECESSION AND CONTAGION

A Greek exit could be “technically” managed yet would damage confidence in the monetary union, ECB council member Patrick Honohan said on May 12.

“The strong positive correlation between industrial commodity prices and stock prices isn’t surprising,” Yardeni wrote.

Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said the U.S. economy still faces challenges from the aftermath of the financial crisis and the “damaging” situation in Europe.

The four-week moving average, a less volatile measure than the weekly figures, fell to 375,000 last week from 379,750.

CAPITAL FLIGHT

Conceived as a tool for integration, the euro could, instead, tear Europe apart.

The firm sold 260,000 shares of Mountain View, California- based Google, a stake that was valued at $168 million at the end of the quarter.

“For Sinaloa, it’s a way of bringing down these upstarts, and for the Zetas, it’s about protecting their reputation for extreme violence, which is their main asset.”

"Negative ads work. Romney should know, since he eviscerated (Republican rivals) Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum with withering attack ads in the primaries."

Bild, Germany’s most-read newspaper, underscored the domestic challenges Merkel faces over Greece, saying in an editorial today that the inability to form a government “makes it clear once and for all: the Greeks are saying good-bye to the euro.”

Crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange, rose 2.8 million barrels last week to a record 46.9 million barrels

IMF chief Christine Lagarde had earlier in the day joined a string of EU policymakers who have over the past days lifted the taboo of openly discussing the prospect of an exit of Greece from the euro zone.

“While the state is undeniably facing a difficult budget gap,” she said in a statement, “these funds should be used to help Californians stay in their homes.”

“As you’ve just seen, even with the top market experts in the United States, that it could happen again,” Mr. Schäuble said at a news conference, shaking his head.

"All eyes are firmly on Greece, and the political uncertainty will continue to weigh on sentiment," said Eric Wand

"The Turks made the call," a senior U.S. defense official said. "It wasn't an American decision."

China Construction Bank Corp. (601939) and China Vanke Co. led declines for banks and developers after the Shanghai Securities News said combined net lending for the nation’s four biggest banks was almost zero in first two weeks of this month.

“You lose credibility, you have to earn it back. You have to earn respect every day. It’s never how great we are. It’s always the good, the bad and the ugly.”

"The euro is likely to suffer for some months to come as growth worries and peripheral country tensions persist," said Crédit Agricole.

“The Italian government’s austerity measures and structural reforms are weighing on the country’s near-term economic outlook,” Moody’s wrote

“It would be very difficult for Greece to pay bondholders and then turn around and say they’re cutting pensions to pay the bonds.”

It is unclear just how large JPMorgan’s position is, but people involved in the market figure the bank dominates this part of the credit market.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation is examining potential wrongdoing surrounding JPMorgan Chase‘s $2 billion trading loss

The Justice Department has opened an inquiry into J.P. Morgan Chase's $2 billion-plus trading loss, according to a person familiar with the matter. William Mauldin has details on Lunch Break. Photo: AP.

“If Greece were to ever exit the euro, no amount of reassuring comments will convince investors that other countries won’t soon follow.”

Banks tumbled in Madrid trading yesterday and Spanish bond yields rose to a five-month high as lenders outlined the costs of the government’s requirements and analysts said even those provisions wouldn’t be enough.

Pitty the Speculator...

“The euro-zone crisis is having a real impact on growth across the European continent, including Britain,” Osborne said

European governments hinted at giving Greece extra time to meet budget-cut targets, as long as the financially stricken country’s feuding politicians put together a ruling coalition committed to austerity.

How about a price decline at the pumps? Oh Forgot, the Cartel is only Responsive to the Market when its Jacking Up Prices!

Sure, Greece's debt could easily be fudged with promises to extend maturities and cut interest rates. But the real problem is structural overhauls.

nvestors battered European stocks, dumped the bonds of Spain and Italy, and bid the euro down against the dollar Monday after the collapse of weekend coalition talks in Greece

In fact, if America wants to be a healthy, smart, rich, globalized, high-tech powerhouse, we arguably have no better model than Massachusetts.

"I told the president that a government by technocrats or personalities would suggest the failure of politics, and raised my objection," party leader Fotis Kouvelis said.

“Poor Americans are urged to hate themselves,” Kurt Vonnegut wrote in “Slaughterhouse-Five.” And so, “they mock themselves and glorify their betters.”

"This is not a hedge as we defined it in the law," Mr. Levin said Friday in a conference call with reporters.

"In addition to 'high alert and forceful' crisis management, Europe still needs to articulate more clearly its longer-term game plan," Erik Nielsen

But addressing fiscal issues through monetary means generally doesn’t work, and it does nothing to improve the competitiveness of the struggling euro-area periphery.

“France has very difficult structural problems, especially the large number of young people without much qualification who are looking for their first job,” said Bruno Cautres

“One of the things I think is crucial for Vermont, in terms of maintaining this very special brand that we have, is we don’t want to look like Anywhere, U.S.A. And homegrown businesses are a crucial piece of that.”

But House Republicans have balked at the Senate’s version, preferring a version that White House officials and Democrats have derided as a way to weaken the legal protections for women.

Party's Drubbing in Germany's Biggest State Suggests Chancellor Is More Vulnerable Than Thought

The European Commission isn’t considering easing the terms of the joint bailout for Greece from the EU and the International Monetary Fund

Bloomberg Surveillance: Ken Prewitt and Tom Keene

But that was then. Last week, 224 Republicans and 23 Democrats voted to cut the bureau’s 2013 budget to $855 million, $88 million below last year’s total and $116 million below the White House’s request.

Euro-area finance ministers meet today and may discuss the international bailout for Greece, as well as the situation in Spain, where the government last week made a fourth attempt to clean up the country’s banks.

But as the Greek economy continues its free fall and the country’s unpaid obligations mount — analysts say Greece owes 6 billion euros to exporters via tax refunds and other domestic suppliers

Just trust us, the JPMorgan chief has in effect been saying; everything’s under control.

'Printing Money Can't Be an Answer'

North-Rhine Westphalia is Germany's largest state, and it just dealt a serious political setback to Angela Merkel and her Christian Democratic Union.

Investors are increasingly fearful of Greece exiting the euro, as euro-zone officials and members of the European Central Bank's governing council talk explicitly about the possibility and consequences of such an event.

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party was defeated in Germany’s most populous state in an election that helped the Social Democrats tighten their grip on the country’s regional governments.

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